Forecasting is man’s all-time favorite pastime, besides rumor mongering, bigoting and lying. This act is rampant amongst punters, and TV stations slot in colorful weather forecast to wind up the lies on prime time news. In the corporate scene, CEO’s use forecasting to subdue the insatiable appetite of greedy shareholders wanting more profits, and lately here in Malaysia, desperate power-hungry politicians are applying this technique to boost their waning popularity.
We’re all too familiar with the weatherman and his predictions of expecting tomorrow being a bright sunny day and blue skies, and we’ve stopped preparing the picnic basket because we’ve been disappointed too many times. Having said that, recently technology has helped the weatherman in weather forecasting, and their more reliable predictions have somewhat regained the people’s confidence up to a certain point.
There’s two side to a coin, and its not too good for the storm/hurricane itself that the people are more prepared now to deal with the situation, which as a result it became less and less damaging to people.
The moral of the story and according to Sun Tzu’s – The Art Of War, the key to winning a battle/war is the element of surprise. Its simply foolish to tell your enemy when you’re coming to attack him, let alone to be as precise as THE 16th September 2008, and expecting him to be lying in bed.
Well…perhaps Malaysians need to seek a freshman, not a worn-out weatherman ???